_wire_ 15 hours ago

tl;dr

Worry, but don't worry

A past pattern is reforming, but nothing ever really repeats.

There are troubling signs, but maybe it's meaningless.

These measures meant something back in the day, but these measures aren't used today.

Thanks to federal shutdown, there's no reporting, so who knows?

We're begging the question and the question has been begged.

On and on... etc... and so on.

The article has an author, but what does he know? He thinks so. Wait, what was the topic?

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  • pfannkuchen 12 hours ago

    Are we ending the so-called gold standard again, with the predictably unpredictable effects of a discontinuity event? If not, seems like apples and oranges. Also just the whole notion of reducing a super high dimension system to a few dimensions with no real coherent model in between seems fundamentally flawed.

    • metalman 8 hours ago

      economic conditions were confirmed by clothing styles and music trends in the past, or at least the magazines of my childhood would go to some effort to chart these things, now I think it is fair to say that tribal affiliation, geography and geopolitics are going to be more significant to indivuals than what is happening in stock markets. the simple fact of billions of humans having overcome poverty in the last 20 years means that the whole system is much larger and more energetic, making predictions localy valid at best. and face it, this isn't so much about the money bet, as much as the power and control that is bieng wished into ai